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Friday, October 2nd, 2009

Subject:Hindsight is 20/20 - UAAP S72 Finals Edition - October 2 (Game 1 - ADMU/UE)
Time:8:55 pm.
Ateneo Props

Props to...Rabeh Al-Hussaini for continuing to rampage through the Red Warriors like a man possessed. 28 points on 50% shooting and 14 boards. The kicker though is 0 turnovers and 0 fouls. He keeps this up, he'll be Finals MVP.

Props to...Jai Reyes for yet another outstanding performance. 5 for 6 from beyond the arc, plus a wicked Cardona-esque hook teardrop over Elmer Espiritu equals 17 points, coupled with 5 rebounds, 4 assists, and a solitary turnover.

Props to...Nico Salva, who reminded us of the greatness that we missed in the Final Four game versus UST. He had 8 points, 2 rebounds, 1 assist and a block, but boy, the way he got those points sure was pretty. Let it be said, Salva owned Espiritu down low with an arsenal of clever post moves and pump fakes.

Props to...Bacon Austria, who played tenacious defense and jump-started the Ateneo offense with two huge triples in the first quarter. UE players were at first, more than willing to give him the space to shoot. Not so much after those shots, forcing them to play Al-Hussaini straight-up.

Props to...Ryan Buenafe who showed that he could do it on the defensive end as well. Late in the fourth quarter, Buenafe waved off the help defense and took Paul Lee on solo. Lee attempted to drive, but Buenafe was waiting and stole the pass, which the Blue Eagles converted into points. That was the final nail in the UE coffin.

Props to...Justin Chua, who played only five minutes, but man, does the future look great, huh Blue Eagles fans?


Ateneo Slops

Slops to...Nonoy Baclao, who for some reason, came out wanting to score. Nice intentions, but poor execution. Baclao finished 1 for 8 from the field, missing on post-ups, jumpers, tip-in's, all he lacked an attempt from beyond the arc. Sure he pulled down 12 boards, but they would have blown UE out of the water had he just made a few more shots.

Slops to...Eric Salamat, with his 1 to 1 turnover/assist ratio. He only played 23 minutes, finishing with 4 points and no steals.

Slops to...Kirk Long, who passed the ball into horrible situations when he should have taken the shot, and who missed when he was forced into throwing up the ball. He did manage to make a triple, and played some decent defense (to put it kindly) versus Paul Lee, but I think some of his 24 minutes ought to have gone to other players.

Slops to...Eman Monfort, who was ice cold in this game. 0/5 from the field and 0/4 from beyond the arc equals "ugh!"

Slops to...Norman Black, who took a tad too long to recognize a UE mismatch in the waning moments of the second quarter. The Red Warriors went small with Elmer Espiritu at the 5, and Acuna at the 4, versus Al-Hussaini and Baclao, respectively. The UE big men toyed with their Atenean counterparts while beyond the arc and converted multiple tries, giving the half time victory to UE. I would have moved Noy up to the 5 and placed someone like Sumalinog at the 4 at an earlier juncture to try to stop the bleeding.



UE Props

Props to...Raffy Reyes and Rudy Lingganay, both of who came to play. I always felt that Ateneo had the advantage in the backcourt, but with Salamat MIA and Reyes only exploding in the latter moments of the game, the UE pair were able to combine for 20 points, 10 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 steals and just 2 turnovers.

Props to...Val Acuna, who shot pretty horrible, but got to make it up by tearing down 11 huge rebounds



UE Slops

Slops to...the UE big men, who were upstaged by their Atenean counterparts. Llagas only had 3 rebounds and Espiritu was once again shackled offensively, turning out only 8 points on 3 of 12 shooting

Slops to...Paul Zamar, who turned out to be extremely gunshy, firing off only 1 triple attempt (it missed), and generally not doing a whole lot more.

Slops to...Paul Lee, who was desperately trying to rediscover his three-point range, only succeeded in making a fool of himself. He was 1 of 8 from 3-point land and 5 of 18 from everywhere on the court. Also, the best passer in the UAAP was limited to...just one assist.

Slops to...Lawrence Chongson, who still refuses adamantly to send a double-team at Al-Hussaini. With their surplus of walking foul magnets (Acibar! Ayala! Noble!), it surprised me that Chongson didn't send a single guy out to agitate the temperamental big man.



Key Stats

- Ateneo was extremely accurate from all angles (42.42 FG, 42.11 3PT) while UE couldn't get their perimeter shots to go down (34.18 FG, 23.33 3PT).

- Ateneo got to the line 10 more times than UE (22 versus 12), which highlights just how much of a jump-shooting team UE is.
- Part of the reason why UE has a horrible percentage is that they took more shots, thanks to four more offensive rebounds than ADMU (14 versus 10).

- Amazingly, UE had only 7 turnovers the entire game, while Ateneo doubled that number.

- Ateneo had the luxury of such a deep bench, going 11-deep (9 playing more than 10 minutes), while UE relied on just a few key guys, which got them tired out by the 4th quarter (9 players, with 7 going into double-digit minutes).
Comments:

Saturday, September 26th, 2009

Subject:UAAP S72 Finals Preview: ADMU vs UE
Time:6:57 am.

Ateneo Blue Eagles

University of the East Red Warriors

OFFENSE

74.87 points a game

31% three-point field goal percentage

43.08% field goal percentage

72.1%  free throw percentage

16.13 assists per game

 

It’s all about ball movement for Ateneo. The team leads the league in assists, which means easy open shots and a high shooting percentage. And when in doubt, they can always dump the ball down low to last season’s regular season MVP Rabeh Al-Hussaini

 

EDGE: ATENEO

75.31 points a game

28.32% three-point field goal percentage

40.26% field goal percentage

68.05% free throw percentage

13.94 assists per game

 

The second-best team in terms of points scored employs a frenetic run and gun offense with a catch; the lack of set plays means they’re a hard team to gameplan against. On the flip side, they’re prone to settling for outside jumpers, and when the bench players come in, the offense grinds to a halt.

 

 

DEFENSE

63.93 points allowed per game

24.27% opponent's three-point percentage

34.16% opponent's field goal percentage

 

Ateneo is the best defensive team in the league, shutting down opponents both big and small. It helps that they can stop various styles of attack. The Blue Eagles are equally adept at halting fast breaks as they are at disrupting set plays. 

 

EDGE: ATENEO

70 points allowed per game

26.74% opponent's three-point percentage

37.59% opponent's field goal percentage

 

UE’s style of play can sucker less disciplined teams into adapting their brand of offense, resulting in players settling for quick shots too. There’s no one on their team though with a reputation for being a lockdown defender, which might be a factor in the Finals.

HUSTLE

40.33 rebounds per game

6.07 steals per game

4.6 blocks per game

 

If there’s one team that exemplifies hustle, it’s the Blue Eagles. They’re predators in the passing lane and Nonoy Baclao is an imposing threat on defense. Their only problem is rebounding. They’re prone to giving up a ton of offensive boards to their opponent.

42.5 rebounds per game

3.88 steals per game

4.88 blocks per game

 

What’s more imposing than Nonoy Baclao in the lane? Try Elmer Espiritu in the lane, a human pogo stick that can cover the entire painted area. Between him and his front-court partner Pari Llagas, the Red Warriors dominate the boards when those two are around.

 

EDGE: UE

STARTING BACKCOURT

Projected PG: Jai Reyes (8.6 points, 2.9 rebounds, 2.3 assists)

Projected SG: Eric Salamat (11.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, 3.7 assists, 2.2 steals)

 

One of the reasons why Ateneo has been firing on all cylinders these past few games has been the amazing play from their backcourt. Jai Reyes has been averaging 16 points, knocking down jumpers from all angles. Eric Salamat has returned to being the Man of Steal, converting turnovers into easy baskets, both for himself and for his teammates.

 

EDGE: ATENEO

Projected PG: Rudy Lingganay (7.3 points, 5.3 rebounds, 2.4 assists)

Projected SG: Paul Lee (15.4 points, 5.8 rebounds, 4.9 assists, 35.86% FG)

 

Point guard has been UE’s weakness this season with the absence of James Martinez. Rudy Lingganay has been doing his best to fill in the gap, but aside from being a superb rebounder from his position, he’s been inconsistent at best. Thus, the playmaking job falls by default to Paul Lee, who leads the league in assists. For Lee, it’s a constant juggle between sharing the ball and scoring. He’ll need to find the correct balance when the Ateneo defense keys in on him.

 

STARTING FRONTCOURT

Projected SF: Kirk Long (5.5 points, 3.5 rebounds, 1.6 assists, 0.6 steals)

Projected PF: Nonoy Baclao (5.9 points, 7.3 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 0.7 steals, 2.3 blocks)

Projected C: Rabeh Al-Hussaini (16.3 points, 7.1 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 47.98 FG%)

 

Some players just love playing against certain teams, and Rabeh Al-Hussaini loves playing against UE, to the tune of averaging 28.5 points in the teams’ two meetings this season. Nonoy Baclao is now fully healed from his hand injury and is dominant on defense again. And speaking of Kirk Long, this guy has evolved into a more than capable perimeter defender. Any points from him will be gravy.

Projected SF: Val Acuna (11.3 points, 3.2 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 28.1% 3PT FG)

Projected PF: Elmer Espiritu (12.8 points, 8 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 2.7 blocks)

Projected C: Pari Llagas (13.9 points, 9.2 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 block)

 

Both Elmer Espiritu and Pari Llagas are two of the top big men in the league, but their styles of play are very different. Llagas has a wicked mid-range jumper that’s difficult to guard on a big man, while Espiritu can drive like a guard into the lanes for easy lay-ins. The x-factor is Val Acuna though, who, if he’s on target from beyond the arc, can easily release a barrage of triples to swing momentum to UE’s side.

 

EDGE: UE

BENCH SUPPORT

Key Players: Ryan Buenafe, Nico Salva, Justin Chua, Eman Monfort

 

When you have four players on your bench who could probably start for several teams in the league, it’s probably an understatement to say that your bench is a big strength. Toss in the fact that Ryan Buenafe has broken out of his offensive slump and Nico Salva’s probably raring to go after his one-game suspension, and it’s clear that there’s going to little drop off from starters to bench players.

 

EDGE: ATENEO

Key Players: Paul Zamar, Raffy Reyes

 

UE Coach Lawrence Tiongson fielded the most starting line-ups in the UAAP this season, and it’s all in an effort to try to balance this team’s scoring. The truth of the matter is, they barely get any points from their supporting cast, which leads to scoring droughts where opponents can catch up, and a lot of pressure placed on the starters to contribute while playing big minutes.

HEAD COACH

 

Ateneo head coach Norman Black is a master gameplanner who won a championship just last season. In a close game, there’s no one better to have on your side, given his penchant for drawing up plays that yield easy baskets during crunchtime. If he can keep his team focused from start to end in the hopes of preventing another near-collapse like the Round 2 encounter between these two teams, the Eagles will soar.

 

EDGE: ATENEO

 

It’s Lawrence Tiongson’s first season as head coach and his first time to the Finals as well. While it’s unlikely he’ll have rookie jitters, he’ll need to find a way to stop Rabeh Al-Hussaini, because so far this season, he’s refused to send a double team at him, resulting in Al-Hussaini’s aforementioned scoring binges versus the Red Warriors.

MOMENTUM

 

The Blue Eagles will come into this game riding an 11-game winning streak, and a 32-2 record stretching back to last season. Factor in a 17-point win over UST in the Final Four, and it’s safe to say that Ateneo’s soaring into the Championship round, ready to repeat.

 

EDGE: ATENEO

 

UE’s been on a roll of late too, winning their last eight games. No doubt, their confidence is also at a high after eliminating the #2 seeded FEU and vaulting into the Championship round. The only problem? The last team to beat them is the team they’re going up against, Ateneo.

 

 

FINAL PREDICTION

Back to Black? It’s looking a lot more likely, on paper at least, for the Blue Eagles. Most championships are won on the strength of two variables, Defense and Depth, and Ateneo has both in spades. True, neither of these two teams are really new to this stage; both teams have players who have been to the Championship round before, but the difference is simple. UE got swept  two seasons ago after going undefeated in the regular season, while Ateneo came away last season with the crown.

 

For UE to pull off the upset, their best five players will all need to chip in above average performances. It’s not enough for Paul Lee to be hot in one game while Pari Llagas is cold, and then flip it around in the next. Given their lack of depth, UE’s starters will need to dig deep and churn out remarkable performances. I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see Lee, Llagas and Espiritu play 39-minute games.

 

Barring any mental lapses though, it looks like the stars have aligned for the Blue Eagles again on their sesquicentennial. Consider it a proper ending for another dominant season.

 

ATENEO BLUE EAGLES IN 2 GAMES

Comments:

Friday, September 25th, 2009

Subject:Hindsight is 20/20 - Sept 25 (The kicking FEU while they're down edition)
Time:6:22 am.
1) JR Cawaling - 19 points (8/14 FG, 3/6 3PT), 3 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 steal, 1 turnover

Want to know what the last game he had that was comparable to his performance earlier? The Final Four match versus La Salle last season, when he pumped in 18 points (2/4 FG, 2/6 3PT, 8/9 FT), 2 rebounds, 1 assist, 2 steals, and 3 turnovers.

Both these games showcase Cawaling's versatility, and are probably why he's on the Smart Gilas team. Too bad it seems like he can only pull it off once every season.

2) Pipo Noundou - 0/5 3PM-A

Apparently, after getting injured, Pipo Noundou came back thinking he was the black Larry Bird. Too bad he didn't take a look at his own stats. Prior to this game, he was only 2 for 7 from beyond the arc. It's not your thing man, go back and sniff out a couple more rebounds.

3) Paul Sanga - 2 points (0/8 FG, 0/5 3PT, 2/2 FT)

Do you know what the arena barker called this guy? "The Dream." Really? Allow me to make the obvious joke then, "he's turned into a nightmare!" Sanga top-scored for the Tams last game, to the tune of 22 points (6/11 3PT), but apparently we all woke up and moved on to the real world.

4) RR Garcia - "I only like playing against crap teams"

Here are RR Garcia's numbers versus DLSU, AdU, NU and UP: 15.6 points on 49.55 FG%, 40 3PT% shooting

Here are RR Garcia's numbers versus ADMU, UST, and all 4 UE games: 9.5 points on 29.17 FG%, 20.37 3PT% shooting

5) "Boy FEU sure loves jump shots!"

78 field goal attempts, 7 trips to the foul line.

Compare that to UE's 65 field goal attempts, 25 trips to the line.
Comments:

Sunday, September 20th, 2009

Subject:UAAP S72 Final Four Preview: ADMU versus UST
Time:7:50 am.
(1) Ateneo de Manila Blue Eagles
Record: 13-1

How they got there: The Blue Eagles stuck to what got them a championship last season: defense. They were the best defensive team this season, holding opponents to an average of only 64 points per game, while forcing opponents to shoot only 34.63% from the field. Two things might make them better than last season’s Chris Tiu-led championship team though: first, a deeper bench full of players that can explode for big games at any moment; and second, a sense of resiliency that allows Ateneo to absorb what would be knock-out runs for any other team, before answering back with a scoring binge of their own.

Team weakness: A solitary loss to the UP Fighting Maroons exhibits Ateneo's weakness: in the pivotal fourth quarter, UP was able to shoot a staggering 89% from the field, on route to the W. For all of their defensive acumen, opponents will usually get the chance to unleash a flurry of baskets while the Ateneo juggernaut inexplicably grinds to a halt. Equally perplexing is the fact that this seems to happen often against the starting five of Coach Black, necessitating their bench to bail out the starters. Sure, as mentioned above, the Blue Eagles are usually able to right the ship and put the clamps back down but they can't allow such lapses now that they're in the post season.

Key cog: Eric Salamat - at this point last season, Salamat was cooling down. He was basically a non-factor in the waning moments of Season 71. This year though, he's been the leading scorer for the team down the stretch, averaging 20 points in their last three outings. He's literally been a do-it-all wunderkind, scoring both from 3-point range and from his daredevil slashes, orchestrating the offense, and playing the passing lanes. Plus, he's a genius at getting his side of the arena fired up with his patent-pending salute to the crowd after nifty plays.

Under the radar: Jai Reyes - sometimes, it's not how about how many shots you make, but when you make shots, and that's definitely the case for Ateneo's floor general. He only averages 2.7 field goals made each game, but those are shots (usually triples) that are daggers to the opponent. They either quell opponents' runs or kick-start an Ateneo comeback. Sooner or later, teams will learn not to leave him open, but until then, he's more than willing to take the big shot.

Must step-up: Kirk Long - fans want to see more of the Kirk Long who single-handedly sniped the UST Growling Tigers to a loss in the second round, when he went 5 for 6 from beyond the arc. True, the reason why he's in the starting five is because he's a lockdown defender, but on the offensive end, teams are leaving him open while they double Rabeh Al-Hussaini, confident in the knowledge that, aside from that UST game, he's been miserable from long range.

VERSUS

(4) University of Santo Tomas Growling Tigers
Record: 6-8

How they got there: Many thought the graduation of center Jervy Cruz last season would be the death knell for the Tigers and would result in a woeful season. Instead, Coach Pido Jarencio transformed this team's identity from an inside-outside half-court offense, to a run and gun, Euroball style of play. This has allowed the team to compensate for their lack of a post game by going for the fast break at almost every opportunity. That said, the Tigers actually backed themselves into this Final Four spot as they lost their last three games and were nearly forced into a playoff against the DLSU Green Archers. To further underscore the point, their 6-8 win-loss record is the worst record a Final Four team has ever possessed.

Team weakness: The Tigers have only a single win versus the other four Final Four teams in six attempts this season, and the major reason for this has been their inability to stop the other teams from scoring. They have Chris Camus, who averages 1.5 blocks per game, but he's the only real post defender, and so he's prone to foul trouble. Season 72 MVP Dylan Ababou and Khasim Mirza are above-average defenders, but when up against talented scorers, they tire easily, and the fatigue carries over onto the offensive end, resulting in a lack of lift to their jump shots late in the game. That wouldn't be so bad if they had other options, but aside from rookie Jeric Teng, no one else on the team averages more than 8 points.

Key cog: Dylan Ababou - Ababou has literally been carrying the cudgels for his team, so no wonder he's the MVP of the season. All the other teams know that the he is UST's first and best option on offense, and so opponents’ gameplan exclusively revolves around trying to stop him, which makes the fact that he's still averaging 18.9 points an impressive feat. That said, it's about time to open up other aspects of his game because he can't keep this pace up and expect it to pay dividends. Coach Jarencio ought to look into using Ababou more as a decoy, to set up his teammates when the double team arrives. And as talented as he is, when the game is on the line, there is no way he's going to be making the shot (at least not at a high percentage anyway) versus three defenders draped on him.

Under the radar: Allein Maliksi - Call it a coincidence, but UST has lost their last three games, all of which were missed by Maliksi due to illness. Coming off the bench, Maliksi is an offensive spark plug, a decent shooter, and a great rebounder for his size. Without him, UST has been forced to shorten their rotation and give minutes to non-contributors like Aljohn Ungria and Eduardo Aytona. If UST gets him back during the Final Four, there will be less pressure on Ababou and Mirza to score and the Tigers will be able to keep the floor spread out when the bench players come in.

Must step-up: Jeric Teng - Analysts used to rave about Teng's ability to drive into the lane and finish strong, getting the bucket and the foul. In the last four games though, he's fallen in love with his jump shots, and they haven't been going in (8 of 42 from the field, 2 of 20 from 3-point land). True, part of it is most likely because UST has been finding itself staring at large deficits, but he's got to let go and instead embrace the unconventional three-point play, as he's been making free throws at a highly effective 78.69% rate.  

Comments:

Saturday, September 19th, 2009

Subject:UAAP S72 Final Four Preview: UE versus FEU
Time:8:00 am.
(2) Far Eastern University Tamaraws
Record: 11-3

How they got there: Once again a favorite preseason pick to win it all, the Tamaraws have not, for the most part, disappointed. Led by Smart-Gilas player Aldrech Ramos, the team was bolstered by stand-out rookies RR Garcia and Pipo Noundou, who gave FEU depth similar to what they had last season before the Macmac Baracael tragedy. And yet, something was always "off" with this team, despite some sterling defense. A string of near-losses kept people doubting this team's championship mettle, despite coming close to wresting the number one seed from Ateneo. The real tragedy was the sudden departure of star point guard Mark Barroca from the squad, scant days to go before their match-up versus UE. No doubt, this is a very talented team, but intangibles-wise, they're still lacking that little something to put them over the top.

Team weakness: Perhaps out of all the teams in the Final Four, it's FEU coach Glen Capacio who seems to be the most lost when it comes to his personnel. The team has used a grand total of 12 starting line-ups in just 14 games and the player rotation has been head-scratch inducing to say the least. Capacio routinely benches "hot" players and has gone out of his way to give starting sports and extended minutes to non-productive players like Casey Caluag and Chris Exciminiano. Furthermore, he seemed to be the root of Mark Barroca's three-game slump, which started when he decided to bring the Smart Gilas leader off the bench for two games. Now he won't a veteran floor general on the court to contend for the championship. It's time for him to buckle down and give minutes to those who deserve it on the court.

Key cog: Aldrech Ramos - This guy came out of the Smart Gilas team fired-up, with a more confident post game and a fiery desire to grab boards. He's done particularly well with the latter, picking up double-digit rebounds in all but 3 games, and he's swatting shots now with proper timing instead of just jumping up aimlessly, two reasons why he ought to be strongly considered for defensive player of the year. If Ramos can set the tone on both ends of the court, his teammates will undoubtedly feed off his energy, and that might result in a tighter team defense when they need it the most. He still hasn't reached go-to guy status yet, but the Final Four is a great time for him to step into such a role.

Under the radar: Pipo Noundou - Many people thought Noundou would be a lot like Robert Kave, who left the team mid-season last year, an energetic guy off the bench who could block shots and hustle. Instead, Noundou has become a pivotal player down low, yes, grabbing rebounds, but also making plays in the shaded lane, where other FEU big men would be more comfortable firing mid-range jumpers.  In the two games he's sat out, FEU has lost both by a combined three points, and Noundou was definitely missed by the Tams, who needed to give Ramos and Cervantes extended minutes to compensate. If he can't come back healthy during the Final Four, FEU's struggle will likely continue.

Must step-up: JR Cawaling - The forgotten Smart Gilas player, Cawaling has been overshadowed by his more successful teammates Barroca and Ramos. However, he only has himself to blame, thanks to his habit of disappearing in key games. Against the other three teams in the Final Four, he averages 7.17 points, a full field goal lower than his average against the bottom feeders (9.6 points). Although he's been converting at a high rate (46% for a small forward), he's definitely not aggressive and at times seems to be sleepwalking through the game. Last season, he was the top scorer in their loss versus DLSU in the Final Four. He may need to be that guy again if the Tams hope to get over the hump and return to the Championship round.

VERSUS

(3) University of the East Red Warriors
Record: 10-4

How they got there: The hottest team in the league not named "Ateneo," UE has won six straight games, with their only loss in the second round coming from the aforementioned the Blue Eagles. An interesting blend of the FEU Tamaraws and the UST Growling Tigers, UE also loves to run up and down the court and score. At the same time though, they have the great interior combo of Elmer Espiritu and Pari Llagas, who control the boards and the paint with machine-like efficiency. Finally, they have the most explosive player in the UAAP right now, Paul Lee, who is a threat to put up a triple-double every game. Rookie head coach Lawrence Tiongson has definitely done a good job with his dynamic, no-set-plays offense, constantly keeping opposing coaches guessing. A few seasons ago, this team went undefeated before failing to show up in the Finals. This season though, it seems like UE is peaking at the right time.

Team weakness: UE tries to hide the fact that they've only really got five players (Llagas, Espiritu, Lee, Lingganay, Acuna) who can score consistently by throwing out a league-high 13 different starting line-ups and moving players on and off the court at almost every dead ball situation, but a canny defense-oriented coach knows that you just need to stop one of the two big men and then one of the guards, and the game has been won. True, that is a bit easier said than done, but UE's got to find consistent bench production soon, given their uptempo style of play, and the defensive scrutiny their stars are sure to attract come Final Four.

Key cog: Elmer Espiritu - It's his last season and Espiritu means to go out with a bang. This guy has come a long way from just being a high jumper. Espiritu is now the best shot blocker in the league, and he can now play with you in the post, whether backing down or facing up, and has three-point range to boot. Toss in a good handle to beat full-court presses, and you have a player who ought to have gotten some MVP attention. While it's true that it is teammate Lee who will get the first look in a do-or-die situation, Espiritu is a more than capable second option.

Under the radar: Rudy Lingganay - Many predicted that UE would have a hard time this season due to the preseason injury that befell point guard and deadeye shooter James Martinez, but Lingganay has done a remarkable job in his absence. Lingganay shoots just a shade under 40% from the field and from three-point land, meaning he's a constant threat on the floor. He's also a great rebounder for his position, norming 5.3, but getting as many as 10 in one game versus UST. Truth is, one wonders why Tiongson doesn't play him longer, as he's a great compliment to UE's big three. Maybe the Final Four is his chance to shine?

Must step-up: Val Acuna - Acuna had a breakout game against Ateneo in the first round, where he was a one-machine show from downtown, finishing with 21 points. Since then though, he's been marked by other teams and his shooting dipped to nearly 30% from the field. He's tried to make up for it by driving to the hole more, but his shots have rarely gone in. Truth is, Acuna is a sniper at heart, and if UE is to go far, he'll need his three-point shot to be online. He managed to score 17 against UP and 20 versus UST in the last three games of the season, with four treys in both games, and if he can carry that over to the Final Four then the Red Warriors might run roughshod over the competition. 
Comments:

Saturday, September 12th, 2009

Subject:UAAP Preview: FEU versus ADMU, Round 2 (Sept. 12)
Time:1:17 pm.
What Happened in Round 1?
- Ateneo led over FEU, 50 - 29 at the end of the first half, and Ateneo stayed ahead for a 63-59 final score.

Key Stats
- Call it a mirror match because that's what this was almost. Ateneo shot 36.51% from the field while FEU shot 34.29%, Ateneo shot 71.43% from the charity stripe while FEU shot 70%, both teams had 42 rebounds, Ateneo had 11 assists, FEU had 12, Ateneo turned the ball over 11 times, FEU turned it over 10 times
- Ateneo was the more aggressive team however, drawing 21 fouls while being called for only 12. Key Tamaraws Riel Cervantes and Mark Barroca both finished with 4 fouls each.
- Ateneo was able to convert more triples at a better rate than FEU. The Eagles shot 7 for 18 from beyond the arc while FEU only had 4 of 17.

ADMU Dramatis Personae
- The tag team of Rabeh Al-Hussaini and Nonoy Baclao got together and combined for 18 points (all Al-Hussaini's), 19 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 steal and 5 blocks (all Baclao's). Not only that, they only had 2 turnovers total, and got whistled for only 2 fouls apiece.
- That first round game was won by the bench. Nico Salva, Ryan Buenafe, and Eman Monfort played 51 minutes total and chipped in 27 points, as well as many hustle plays.

FEU Dramatis Personae
- Aldrech Ramos flexed his interior might as he still got 15 points, 14 rebounds and 4 blocks despite the presence of the Blue Eagle twin towers.
- FEU's rookie duo of RR Garcia and Pipo Noundou stole the show with 17 points and 10 boards combined. Their presence on the court also meant that FEU could survive with the fouls on some of the more veteran Tamaraws.

What's Now at Stake
- FEU needs to win by five or more points to get the number one spot and a match-up versus the slumping UST Tigers, who enter with the worst record ever to make the Final Four.

Why Ateneo will win
- Superior coaching, thanks to Norman Black. While other coaches are just pure tacticians, and others are just great motivators, Coach Black is both. Not only will he have prepared his team for this game, I bet he's also playing up the fact that this game could have been losable had the team not mailed in their first round game against UP. FEU's Glenn Capacio, on the other hand, has been tinkering with his starting line-up all season, and his latest move, sending veteran point guard Mark Barroca to the bench, may have cost him his best player.
- Weapons of mass destruction. If you're going up against ADMU, you have to prepare for Al-Hussaini down low. You have to box out properly against Baclao. You have to take care of the ball versus Eric Salamat and stop him from slashing into the lane on offense. If Ateneo were any other team, it would stop there, but this IS Ateneo, so you also have to shut down Jai Reyes from beyond the arc, prevent Buenafe from having an all-around game, discourage Salva from taking that mid-range jumper, then you have to make sure Kirk Long doesn't get hot, or Monfort, heck even Justin Chua could have a big game...
- Health. Not only is Nonoy Baclao rested up and ready to go, FEU will reportedly be missing the services of Pipo Noundou. That's 9.5 points and 7.2 rebounds they'll have to get from someone else.

Why FEU can win
- These are desperate times for FEU. A win means playing UST, whom the Tams destroyed twice this season. A loss would mean playing against UE, who spanked them in a 12-point loss and who have been riding a 6-game winning streak. Let's put it this way, while Ateneo has no problems going up against the Red Warriors (they were the only team to beat them twice this season), FEU is deathly scared of Paul Lee and co., and are no doubt thankful they'll have the twice to beat advantage. No doubt, this will factor into the Tams' motivation
- RR Garcia is a beast. This quote-unquote rookie has been averaging 20 points, 1.3 rebounds, 2 assists and 1.3 steals to only 1.7 turnovers in the last three games. Ateneo will need to hope Reyes or Salamat will be able to shut him down as he's been shooting a scorching 51 percent from the field in those games.
- Mark Barroca's due for a breakout game. In his last two games he's only contributed a paltry 9 points, 4.5 rebounds and 1 assist to 4 turnovers, and that includes an overtime game versus La Salle, who had no point guards who could supposedly stop him. He's obviously unhappy about being benched, and Coach Capacio ought to do the smart thing and start the guy.

Prediction
- Ateneo by under 10 points. Everything's rolling for the Blue Eagles while the Tams came close to losing to two inferior (AdU and DLSU) teams. Expect an early lead by the Eagles, which FEU will repeatedly try to chip away at, but Ateneo will still come out on top in the end.


Comments:

Sunday, September 6th, 2009

Subject:Optimism?
Time:9:24 am.
This isn't kicking someone when they're down, this is a reality check.

With their season practically over (there is a slim, slim chance that they'll force a quotient check, or is that playoff? UAAP rules are so labyrinthine), many Green Archers fans are already looking to next season with green and white glasses. The word "championship" is already being bandied about by these gangrene-infested fans, and if it doesn't happen, well rest assured, the fact that they'll be the hosting school next season will "help" make it happen.

Here's their line of thinking: next season, they'll get to exile players like James Mangahas, Bader Malabes, Ferdinand and Simon Atkins to Team B, freeing up playing time for their "star" rookies like Sam Marata, Joel Tolentino, Arvie Bringas, and Yutien Andrada. Coupled with the return of LA Revilla, sophomore Joshua Webb, and the graduations of "only" Hyram Bagatsing and Kish Co, plus whoever they have in the pipeline (supposedly a few big men), anything less than a championship would be utter disappointment.

DLSU fans, get ready to be disappointed.

1) Who's your coach?

Everyone seems to agree that Franz Pumaren will not be back next season as he will be running for congress. This most likely means that the team will be turned over to his brother, Dindo Pumaren. That is not a good thing.

Dindo is a choker par excellance. Don't believe me? Ever since he was headcoach in UE, every team that ended up winning the championship did it by beating his Red Warriors in the Final Four or in the Finals. They were literally "the team to beat."

Don't get me wrong, Dindo's great at developing talent, but he's an awful in-game coach. What sticks out the most was a time out last season when he literally could not come up with a play, drawing and redrawing x's and o's on his whiteboard before finally throwing in the towel and saying "play hard."

Toss in the fact that there's bound to be resentment among Franz's assistant coaches for being looked over for this clown. True, neither Tonichi Yturri nor Jack Santiago are genius coaches, in fact, they're downright awful, Yturri with the CSB Blazers and Santiago who had to take over while Franz was in Serbia last season, but they're going to feel like they deserve the job, and not this clear case of nepotism.

Let's briefly look at the possibility that Franz comes back. As mentioned, most of the rumored DLSU recruits are big men, and Franz is an awful big man coach, see Arvie Bringas for proof. Not only did it take him almost 11 games before he realized that more minutes should be given to his rookies rather than his veterans this season, this is also the same coach whom Norman Black said runs the exact same plays over and over each year, and whose press has become steadily less effective, and can you imagine how effective it'll be next season with all those big men? Remember, this is the guy who thought it'd be a brilliant idea to make Bader Malabes a point guard, allowed Ferdinand to start over and over despite him not doing anything, and who only used Joel Tolentino for more than 6 minutes after Simon Atkins, another person he loathed despite him being the best point guard on the team, went down with a season-ending injury. In other words, look people, you hate the veterans so much, you have to hate the person who stuck them out there in the first place, and that's Franz Pumaren.

2) Next year will be like this year, only newer

DLSU went into this season with a core of "veterans," made of sophomores and juniors, along with a bumper crop of rookies.

DLSU will go into next season with a core of "veterans," made of sophomores and juniors, along with a bumper crop of rookies.

Uh oh.

The fact of the matter is, there probably hasn't been a team that has won a championship without a key veteran, either a star player or an extremely good role player, and DLSU has neither.

If it is true that this year's vets will be shipped off to Team B, then this team will be devoid of players who saw key minutes during the last time La Salle was in the Final Four. And if you need a preview of what could happen, check out yesterday's game versus FEU, a team that's dripping with Final Four experience. DLSU might keep things close, but in the end, they'll collapse in the worst possible way.

3) Change of pace

More big men means less running, less pressing, or in other words, less of the things that made DLSU, DLSU.

Changing playing styles is rarely easy. The success stories, like UST this season, were because they went from a rigid, structured offense to a more run and gun, freewheeling system. Going in reverse, from run and gun to set plays, is the sort of thing that takes seasons to learn. If you want to know how hard it is, ask the Phoenix Suns how it was to play under Terry Porter.

Then there's the fact that such an offense needs a great point guard or a couple of above-average ball handlers to get the ball to where it needs to be at the right time.

Squeal all you want about LA Revilla and Joel Tolentino, but neither seem the type to run an offensive set. Both seem more likely to bring the ball down, dribble, and then chuck the ball when they see the shot clock trickle down to 8.

I've heard rumors that they're targeting FEU-FERN Baby Tamaraw Gwynne Capacio, the son of FEU coach Glen Capacio. Ignoring the fact that this kid's a scorer on a bad team, do they really think his dad will allow him to go to a rival school while he's an active coach?

4) Overrated

Many killed Peejay Barua for his awful shooting this season. Aside from the UST game when he hit clutch triples in round one, and two good shooting games versus UP and ADMU in round two (which they both lost), a peek at his shooting percentages reveals numbers like:

3/8 (UE R1), 2/9 (FEU R1), 2/13 (UP R1), 1/7 (NU R1), 1/6 (ADMU R1), 1/13 (UE R2), 1/9 (FEU R2)

The much-hyped Sam Marata's numbers from yesterday's game: 3/11, including the two, in hindsight, extremely lucky, triples he hit to send the game into overtime.

Joshua Webb's an extremely talented slasher, but his basketball fundamentals are equally poor. He even needed to, according to DLSU's worst courtside reporter ever yesterday, ask the referees what a travel is and isn't. Ladies and gentlemen, your supposed star player!

Joel Tolentino seems to be crafted from the same mold as Hyram Bagatsing. The problem is that Bagatsing's a shooting guard who's been converted into a tall point guard, while Tolentino's a shooting guard in a point guard's body.

Wow, whatever happened to Arvie Bringas? Talk about a career that's been ruined; he was supposed to be the next great big man of his generation. Instead, he's a shooting guard in a power forward's body. His rebounding numbers stink, and they're already inflated because during those few times he's tried to go inside, he inevitably misses a lay-up, catches his own miss, and then gets stuffed by a shot blocker. And speaking of shot blockers, this guy was supposed to be a shot blocker. Ateneans wanted him to be Nonoy Baclao 2.0 for crying out loud! Instead, he's tallied 2 blocks this entire season, a sharp contrast to 23 triple attempts. Maybe Dindo can save him, although I think Franz has already corrupted him into being an arrogant shmuck who celebrates after hitting a shot despite his team being down 18.

Andrada needs a sandwich, or fifty. I find it hilarious how The Green Mind was raving about his excellent work on Aldrech Ramos yesterday.

Ramos - 10 points on 4/8 shooting (2/2 from the line), 19 rebounds
Andrada - 7 points on 3/5 shooting (1/2 from the line), 6 rebounds

Wow, good thing Andrada was on him! He would have grabbed 50 rebounds had it not been for the ugliest player in the UAAP!

5) Some of the worst fans in the UAAP

Barely a game after people were extolling the virtues of James Mangahas, the Gangrene are now ripping him to shreds, while PJ Barua, for some strange reason, always gets overlooked (I don't care if you think he's trying, he's not making shots!).

Call them spoiled, but boy, if you guys get off to a losing streak, don't expect a crowd to support you during your next game. Then expect the alumni to rip you a new one when they really ought to be ripping the coach for sticking you in there in the first place. Then expect calls to be dropped to Team B, along with the other former Archers whom everyone loved at one point, before unceremoniously being dumped into Green Siberia.

Oh well, if ever you are in need of inspiring thoughts, there's the Archer Pride Twitter to pick you up when you're down! ("Just when it's darkest, that's when we shine. We are the light, we are the truth, WE ARE LA SALLE!")
Comments:

Saturday, September 5th, 2009

Subject:Hanging by a Moment
Time:11:09 am.
DLSU beat UST 68-64 last Thursday. That flicker of hope has been strengthened a bit, but with only a single day of rest, they're now going to face the FEU Tamaraws today.

What Happened in Round 2 Versus UST?
- DLSU took control early in the game, 42 - 30. Jeric Teng drew his second foul early in the first quarter, followed by Dylan Ababou getting his third early in the second. Despite this, UST uncorked 6 straight points to cut a DLSU lead down to just 12, ending the second quarter on a roll.
- Said roll continued in the third, when UST held DLSU to just 6 points.
- In the fourth, the lead swung wildly back and forth. The turning point was Khasim Mirza fouling out; from then on, UST was sent back-peddling and couldn't force overtime.
- UST, it must be noted, played without Allein Maliksi, who averages 8 points and 4 rebounds. The Growling Tigers were forced to give extended minutes to Clark Bautista (15 mins, 1 for 5, 5 points) and Aljohn Ungria (5 mins, nothing contributed except a missed shot attempt and a foul).

What Did DLSU Do Right?
- Player rotation. DLSU found a combination of players that worked and stuck to them, giving lots of minutes to Maui Villanueva, Kish Co, Sam Marata, Hyram Bagatsing and Joseph Tolentino
- Veteran presence. Finally, James Mangahas stepped into that role of canny veteran. He didn't play in the first half, but when Coach Franz played him in the second, he practically won the game by himself with his 15 points on 50% shooting (2 of 4 from 3pt).

How Did DLSU Nearly Lose the Game?
- Awful at the line. 12 for 26 from the free throw line. Down the stretch, I'm surprised UST didn't go to hack-an-Archer, given how only Mangahas and Tolentino were hitting them with some sort of rhythm.

What Did UST Do Wrong?
- Missing the broadside of a barn. How does a run and gun team hit only 15 shots (23.81% of 63 shots)? Answer: through some horrible combination of good defense and stupid shot selection.
- Always Ababou. In crunchtime, the ball will only go into the hands of Dylan Ababou and everyone knows this. With a chance to tie or take the lead on the second to the last play, UST sets a play for...Dylan Ababou, who predictably gets triple-teamed. C'mon Pido, why not use him as a decoy for Jeric Fortuna or Teng?

How Did UST Nearly Win the Game?
- Living on the line. The exact opposite of DLSU, UST went 31 for 36 from the charity stripe, winning the third thanks to repeated trips to the line (although it must be pointed out - if Jeric Teng had gone perfect from the line, or if Ababou had not spit his charities down the stretch, they might have swung the game to their side)

+++

Let's now turn our attention to today's FEU game.

What Happened in Round 1?
- FEU and DLSU were tight in the first quarter, 14 to 12, but FEU owned the second, 22 to 12, and it was all over, bar the shouting, from then on.

Key Stats
- FEU held the Archers to just 14 of 61 shooting, or 22.95%, while they themselves shot 40.32%.
- The Tams also shut down the painted lane with 8 shot blocks to 0 Archer rejections.
- 4 Tamaraws, Cawaling, Barroca, Garcia and Cervantes, finished with double digit scoring, while DLSU had James Mangahas top-scoring with 8.

What's Now at Stake
- DLSU needs to win to keep up their hopes for a Final Four slot. A win, plus a victory over NU, means UST would have to sweep their remaining games. or face a quotient check that the Tigers would lose (having dropped both games to the Archers)
- FEU needs to win because if they lose this one, and drop the game to Ateneo, and if UE wins their last two versus UST and Adamson, they'd force a playoff for the #2 seed and the twice to beat advantage

How DLSU Can Win
- Outrebound the Tams. This is a tall order, but if the Archers can gang-rebound the misses and get second chance opportunities, or defensive boards that they can convert into fast break opportunities, then that's more points for DLSU and less points for FEU.
- Win the Freethrow Battle. FEU is equally erratic from the freethrow line, so if DLSU can get there more, and convert at a higher clip, again, that's easy points for the Archers.

How FEU Can Win
- Win the Individual Match-ups. At every position, FEU's got superior players that DLSU simply cannot handle. Barroca and Garcia have to be aggressive and hit open jumpers, while the big men have to own the paint. The only chink in the armor of FEU is Coach Capacio's fondness of playing scrubs like Casey Caluag and MC Vinluan. If Capacio gives major minutes to people like Garcia and Cervantes instead, it's hard to see the Tams get upset.
- Win Early. A DLSU team with confidence is a deadly thing to face. FEU will need to get off to an early lead and keep it, going into the second half. That should be more than enough to break the Green Archer morale. From then on, it's just a matter of playing your starters more down the stretch to really carve out a large lead and prevent any thoughts of a DLSU rally.

Prediction
- FEU by 12-16 points. 
Comments:

Thursday, September 3rd, 2009

Subject:UAAP Preview: UST versus DLSU, Round 2 (Sept. 3)
Time:7:17 am.

What Happened in Round 1?
UST led over DLSU, 45 - 37 at the half, 72-60 at the end of the third quarter.
DLSU then uncorked a 10-22 fourth quarter, knotting the game and sending it into overtime.
In the second overtime, UST could only score 2 points to DLSU's 11.

Key Stats
UST, normally a decent rebounding team, got 39 boards to DLSU's 47.
UST was also out-assisted by DLSU. The Tigers had 13 dimes to the Archers' 22.
Coming off the bench, Jeric Teng (18 points, 7 rebounds, 4 steals) and Chris Camus (11 points, 5 rebounds, 1 steal, 1 bock) both fouled out in the fourth quarter. Only 1 DLSU player, Kish Co, had 4 fouls.
Connected to that, DLSU had 45 attempts at the line, to UST's 34 (although UST converted them at a higher clip, but not by much, 58 to 55%)

UST Dramatis Personae
- King Tiger Dylan Ababou was a one-man show down the stretch, and the burden of carrying the team on his shoulders clearly showed. UST would go to him on almost every possession in the fourth and the two overtimes (he played 43 minutes out of a possible 50) and by then, he was getting enough lift from his legs and his shots all fell short. He would finish with 19 points on 8 of 22 shooting, 11 rebounds, an assist and a block, and a solitary triple.
- Jeric Fortuna was the other played who played major minutes, 45, in fact, but he was much less effective than Ababou. Fortuna only had 10 points (3/9 FG, 2/4 3PT), while dishing out 5 assists and swiping the ball 5 times. Those are decent numbers, but he was basically a non-factor late in the game.
- Speaking of non-factors, Khasim Mirza, who reportedly played despite a fever or a flu, totaled 38 minutes, finishing with 12 points on 3 of 12 shooting, no triples, 6 rebounds, 3 assists and 3 steals.

DLSU Dramatis Personae
- Call it the highlight of Arvie Bringas' rookie campaign why don't you? The much-hyped Bringas had a monstrous 21 points on 7 of 10 shooting, 1 of 2 from beyond the arc, 6 of 12 from the charity stripe, and 8 rebounds. Bringas of course hit a big three to help send the game into overtime.
- Call it also the best game from the DLSU veterans. James Mangahas had 18 points, his highest of the season, and 9 rebounds. Bader Malabes had 10 points (albeit on 2 of 9 shooting), 5 rebounds, and 7 assists, as he took over playmaking duties from Simon Atkins, who couldn't hit the broadside of a barn. Finally, PJ Barua broke out of a long shooting slump as he hit two triples bridging the first and second overtime.

What's Now at Stake
- If UST wins this, it's goodbye DLSU. It's that simple.

How UST Can Win
- Beat the press. Versus the La Salle press (perhaps the best manifestation of the press the entire season), UST would launch several inbound passes across the length of the court. Now, UE did variations of this in last Saturday's win, but UST's passes would typically fall right into an Archer's hands. One thing they should attempt is having Khasim Mirza bring up the ball, as Fortuna is way too, er, green to handle bringing up the ball.
- Everything counts in large amounts. Not only does ATM (Ababou, Teng, Mirza) need to score big, they'll need contributions to the tune of 10 or more points from all of their major supporting players, namely Fortuna, Bautista, Camus and Maliksi. If UST can open up a scoring barrage, they'll most likely break DLSU's spirit and discourage any rally attempts. It can't be in just one quarter either, it's got to be a sustained offensive effort.

How DLSU Can Win
- Unleash the press again. If UST insists on letting its guards bring up the ball, punish them for doing so by hounding them relentlessly from inbounds pass until they cross the half court line. If the Tigers resort to having Ababou bring down the ball, then that's great as well, as it fatigues UST's marquee player.
- Get out if you're not scoring. Coach Franz Pumaren cannot stick to any stupid notions of "this player's a veteran" or "this player did well in practice." If you're not making any shots, you're out, so take note Mangahas, Malabes, Barua and Bringas. Pumaren needs guys to put points on the board to keep pace with the UST offensive machine and so he cannot leave any liabilities on the court.
- Attack the rim. If La Salle can get Chris Camus to foul out again, that opens up the interior for further slashing attempts and offensive rebounds, as Camus is really the only true rebounder/shot blocker on this team. If they can get Ababou into foul trouble, then so much the better.

Prediction
- UST by single digits. DLSU had a lot of things going right in their first round game, and they still needed two overtimes in the end. Expect the Archers to come out with intensity, but the sort of intensity that leads to sloppy play.


 
Comments:

Sunday, August 23rd, 2009

Subject:Hindsight is 20/20 - August 24 (The UP/DLSU edition)
Time:9:20 am.
One of my oldest friends, Chris, asked me a few questions about UP's win over La Salle yesterday. How did it happen? Did it mean anything for UP? How does it affect the UP's Final Four situation?

How did UP win?
- UP gave DLSU a taste of their own medicine, opening the game with a blitzing full-court press that generated turnovers and sloppy shots by an unprepared DLSU team. I previously criticized UP for relying too much on a zone defense, saying that they were not athletic enough to pull off the proper rotations. Based on yesterday's game, I can say that they are definitely athletic enough press. In fact, it was probably the best execution of the full-court press that I've seen in years. UP defenders got up into the grill of DLSU ball handlers, draining precious seconds from the shot clock, and forcing hurried passes with the Maroons could intercept and convert into fast break points.

Why is that significant?
- In their first two wins against ADMU and NU, UP needed a quarter in each game where they shot 89% from the field to go over the top. While I'm not saying both games were flukes (you have to be extremely lucky to hit 89% in one game, let alone two), the simple fact is that you can't count on shooting an insane percentage from the field each game. To put it into perspective, most coaches are happy if their team notches 45% at the end of a game. This shows the basketball maxim, "offense  wins games, defense wins championships," which basically can be rewritten as "offense comes and goes, but defense is eternal." If UP becomes a team that relies heavily on defense to win games, then they've got a much better chance of winning than if they were to just cross their fingers and hope their shooters get hot every game.

- Mikee Reyes came to play. Again. I've long been hammering at this kid and at Aboy Castro for starting him in all but one of UP's games. Reyes, who is a rookie and a graduate of La Salle Greenhills, Had some mediocre games in the first part of round one. His averages in the first six games: 2.17 points (31% from the field), 0.83 rebounds, 1 assist, 3 turnovers.

Reyes had a breakout game against UST in round one, scoring 21 points and tallying 7 rebounds and 6 assists in a UP loss. He followed that up with a 14 point, 3 rebound, 3 assist performance against NU to begin round two. Most were skeptical still of his abilities due to the opposition. UST's run and gun offense is conducive to players having breakout games (Read: Arvie Bringas), and NU is, well, NU. This seemed to be the case as in the rematch against UST, he only got 5 points, 1 rebound and 2 assists.

Against La Salle though, Reyes had 25 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists. True, he was playing against his alma mater, and he probably had reason to show them up (Read: Joel Tolentino), but it's looking more and more like this kid is a legit game changer for the Fighting Maroons.

- No panicking. After posting a 10 point first quarter lead, UP endured a series of DLSU rallies that got the Archers into a position to take over, with numerous deadlocks and 1-point La Salle leads. Instead of choking as they normally would, UP instead showed real grit and fought back to regain the lead. In one memorable sequence, at the end of the second quarter, Mikee Reyes, who had been languishing on the bench, hit back to back triples to extend UP's lead back to five, going into half time.

Another memorable sequence came at the end of the game, with UP up by 2 points and with 17 seconds left. Mikee Reyes splits his charities, leading to a DLSU rebound with a chance to tie, but Mark Lopez forces a turnover, and La Salle has to foul Moriah Gingerich. Fortunately for DLSU, he misses both, but Reyes collars the rebound and bounces the ball out of bounds on a DLSU player. On the resulting inbounds play, UP gets the ball to its best free throw shooter, Martin Reyes, who gets fouled and knocks both down.

In prior circumstances, La Salle would have found a way to force overtime, or even win the game, but not this time.

How did DLSU lose?
- Horrible defense. La Salle gave UP a lay-up line as players like Lopez, Reyes, and Alvin Padilla waltzed into the shaded lane for easy lay-ups. The interior defense was consistently beat, and in those rare moments when a UP slasher found a roadblock, they always managed to kick the ball out for a reset or a perimeter shot. When DLSU switched to a zone defense, UP adjusted by posting Woody Co in the middle of the shaded lane and quickly getting him the ball. A few pump fakes to get the defender into the air and Co would have 2 points.

- Misfiring arrows. La Salle players couldn't hit the broadside of a barn again. After going 6 of 24 from beyond the arc against Ateneo, La Salle sunk lower into the pit of inaccuracy by shooting 3 of 17, with only three triples coming from PJ Barua. The triple has always been the weapon of choice for La Salle, but in this game, not even rookie marksman Sam Marata could find the right range.

- Veteran's day. Out of the 200 minutes of playing time, 174 of those minutes were played by La Salle's veterans. For contrast, in round 2 versus ADMU, the veterans played 159 minutes, and against Adamson, they played 161. This despite DLSU not using Ferdinand and with Simon Atkins sidelined with an injury.

The big question mark was the much-heralded rookie Arvie Bringas, who played only 3 minutes before getting yanked. Equally confusing was Joseph Tolentino, who played 4 minutes before being sent to the bench.

Bringas, who has been drifting more and more to the perimeter lately, could have been sent in and assigned to the post, where he could have had a field day against the smaller UP line-up (allowing him to start taking perimeter shots when Magi Sison came to play). Tolentino on the other hand, is like a mirror image of Mikee Reyes, having gone to high school at UPIS.

Granted, the DLSU veterans did come out to play today (Barua had 18, Mangahas had 15, Malabes had 10, another UPIS grad, Maui Villanueva had 10) but Coach Pumaren really let slip a few opportunities and potential match-up problems in this game.

Hell, if ever there was a time for Ferdinand to do some damage, it should have been this game, against the undersized Kevin Astorga.

Is this a significant win for UP? Isn't La Salle a sucky team this season?
- Last question first. As early as a few weeks ago, La Salle was being projected to be a Final Four team. They had put together a four game winning streak and had nearly beaten Ateneo in overtime. After a rough start, pundits were saying that the team had finally gelled together and were now ready restore glory to the green and white.

True, we all know now what happened. Prior to this game, La Salle got thrashed three games in a row by birds sporting blue and white. But again, up until last week, many thought they could knock UST out of the running for the last spot in the Final Four.

Now, is this a significant win for the Fighting Maroons? Yes. On the basest level, Green Archer fans were calling UP games, "the cure." This after a round one win versus the Maroons triggered La Salle's four game win streak.

Historically, UP has not beaten DLSU since 2005.

On paper, La Salle has the superior team and the superior coach. If the UAAP had a video game and you simulated games between these two teams, I think DLSU would have won 8 out of 10 times.

But it was UP's intangibles that came to the party and won the game for them. They showed true grit, a commitment to play strong defense, and flat-out wanted this game more than the Green Archers. Put all those together, and this win might not be on the same level as upending the defending champions, but it's definitely up there.

What now for UP? Can they make the Final Four?
UP's remaining schedule is FEU, UE, ADMU and AdU.

For me, UP would have had brighter chances if they had beaten UST, the weakest of the current top four teams. Theoretically, if they do sweep their remaining games, they would have an outside shot at perhaps forcing a quotient check to get the number four spot.

It's still easier said than done. Even if UP plays like the way they played versus La Salle, I don't think it would be enough to beat FEU. Given how inconsistent UE has been, they might have a shot there. Against ADMU though, you can be sure that Ateneo will be fired up to beat UP by 150 points so that won't be a gimme. Adamson has really improved too.

If I were to put odds at it happening, I'd keep it low, 10%.

What about for DLSU? Can they make the FInal Four?
DLSU's remaining schedule is UE, UST, FEU, NU.

Of those games, only NU is the gimme, all the rest are against Final Four teams. UE and FEU demolished the Archers in round one, while UST lost in overtime thanks to a fluke performance by Arvie Bringas.

DLSU needs to win all of these games, like UP, to have a chance to force a quotient check with either UE or UST. Given the state of the DLSU team, I really can't see them pulling it off, barring a miracle.

Both UE and FEU have imposing frontline players, a match-up nightmare that will give La Salle fits. UST should have won the game, but collapsed and allowed Arvie Bringas to hit three's he will most likely never make again in his career.

At this point, even NU might give them a run for their money, honestly.

If I were to put odds at it happening, I'd go even lower, 2.5%.

What could UP have done better in that game?
At the end of the first quarter, Coach Aboy Castro put in Arvin Braganza to spell Mikee Reyes. It took six whole minutes of the second quarter before Reyes returned to the floor. By then, La Salle had cut the UP lead down from 10 to 1.

Braganza is a veteran, but his style is radically different from Reyes. Braganza is content to run a half-court set while Reyes will look to push the ball. That means, out of turnovers, Braganza would slow things down, allowing DLSU the chance to transition back from offense to defense, making it harder for UP to score.

In my opinion, Castro should have used Mike Gamboa instead. Gamboa, who is probably as speedy as Reyes, would have kept the tempo high and racked up more transition points for the Maroons. Instead, by going to Braganza, and for an insane amount of time, Castro could have easily given the game away to the Greenies.

I would have also wanted to see him give more minutes to center Magi Sison, who came off the bench. Sison really could have helped a lot in the second half, when La Salle was storming back, thanks to offensive rebounds. True, he had one awful turnover, off an inbounds where he essentially gave the ball away to a La Sallian for a lay-up, but Mikee Reyes had 6 turnovers, and you don't see Castro sitting him down.

Is UP's future bright?
Next year will be the last year for Woody Co, Magi Sison, Mark Lopez, Migs de Asis, and Martin Reyes.

Once those guys are gone, UP will need to go on another mass recruitment drive because those five have been providing the bulk of UP's production.

That basically means that UP's time is now. They are on the clock, so to speak.

The biggest question is whether or not we'll finally see some form of player improvement. From year to year, UP's players have stayed relatively the same. Their numbers have never seen even the slightest of upticks. In other words, what you see in their rookie season, is what you will get over five years.

UP has a handful of promising rookies, namely Mikee Reyes, Alvin Padilla and Carlo Gomez. If any of the three show even the slightest of improvements, coupled with the addition of Fil-Am scoring machine Mike Silungan, and if they continue to work on their full-court press, then UP will be a threat next season.

If they fail to see the Final Four next season though (and I will admit, that was a lot of "if's"), then barring a great recruitment drive, I really can't see the Maroons making the FInal Four anytime soon.


 
 
Comments:

Friday, August 21st, 2009

Subject:High Fives - A Look at the UAAP's Starting Fives
Time:9:56 pm.
Adamson University

1 - Galinato (C) / Colina (PF) / Lozada (SF) / Canuday (SG) / Canada (PG) (2W - 5L)
2 - Santos (C) / Colina (PF) / Nuyles (SF) / Canuday (SG) / Alvarez (PG) (0W - 1L)
3 - Santos (C) / Colina (PF) / Lozada (SF) / Nuyles (SG) / Canada (0W - 1L)

Adamson's a defense-oriented team, and while they've managed to keep games close, they've struggled (an understatement of a word) to actually put themselves over the top and win.

I personally believe their record can be blamed on Coach Leo Austria's insistence on playing Galinato, Lozada and Canada, despite having far superior players in those positions on the bench (Santos, Cabrera, Alvarez).

I'm terribly fond though of line-up #2, even though it resulted in a loss. That's a very balanced, hustling line-up that should scrap together enough possessions to avoid choke jobs down the stretch. Perhaps the big question now is whatever happened to Alan Santos, who has missed the last two games.

UP Fighting Maroons

1- Sison (C) / Gomez (PF) / Ma. Reyes (SF) / Padilla (SG) / Mi. Reyes (PG) (0W - 1L)
2 - Marfori (C) / Co (PF) / Ma. Reyes (SF) / Lopez (SG) / Braganza (PG) (0W - 1L)
3 - Co (C) / Gomez (PF) / Ma. Reyes (SF) / Padilla (SG) / Mi. Reyes (PG) (0W - 1L)
4 - Sison (C) / Gomez (PF) / Ma. Reyes (SF) / Lopez (SG) / Mi. Reyes (PG) (1W - 1L)
5 - Sison  (C) / Juruena (PF) / Gomez (SF) / Lopez (SG) / Mi. Reyes (PG) (0W - 1L)
6 - Sison  (C) / Juruena (PF) / Ma. Reyes (SF) / Padilla (SG) / Mi. Reyes (PG) (0W - 1L)
7 - Sison (C) / Gomez (PF) / Padilla (SF) / Maniego (SG) / Mi. Reyes (PG) (1W - 1L)

Hard to comment about this team's starting line-up since Coach Aboy's Castro's philosophy makes him unafraid to bench players who are producing. T

What's amazing is that despite this philosophy, Castro's consistently given the reins of this team to rookie Mikee Reyes, who's been so-so, with only a single breakout game to his credit (a loss to UST). True, the other point guards on his team, Mike Gamboa and Arvin Braganza both took steps back this season, but they're much more talented than Reyes, who can't seem to even control his own speed.

It's also interesting to note the continued presence of Martin Reyes in the starting line-up at the small forward spot. This experiment has got to end because of his lack of height. Not only can he not guard his man, he's literally shadowed on the offensive end unless he runs through a gamut of screens! And finally, Woody Co, the team's best player, seems happy to come off the bench at times, sometimes as the team's center, to replace a foul-prone Magi Sison.

I'm not a big fan of any of their line-ups, truth be told. I'd like to see them use something like Sison/Gomez/Lopez/Padilla/Gamboa and just run the floor and spread out on offense, with Co and Ma. Reyes off the bench and to create match-up problems with the other team's bench playes.

NU Bulldogs

1 - Ponferrada (C) / Baloran (PF) / Singh (SF) / Hermosisima (SG) / Luy (PG) (1W - 1L)
2 - Ponferrada (C) / Baloran (PF) / Cabaluna (SF) / Singh (SG) / Terso (PG) (0W - 1L)
3 - Baloran (C) / Cabaluna (PF) / Malanday (SF) / Terso (SG) / Luy (PG) (0W - 1L)
4 - Ponferrada (C) / Baloran (PF) / Hermosisima (SF) / Terso (SG) / Luy (PG) (0W - 1L)
5 - Ponferrada (C) / Baloran (PF) / Magat (SF) / Hermosisima (SG) / Luy (PG) (0W - 1L)
6 - Ponferrada (C) / Baloran (PF) / Fabula (SF) / Hermosisima (SG) / Luy (PG) (1W - 1W)
7 - Ponferrada (C) / Baloran (PF) / Singh (SF) / Terso (SG) / Luy (PG) (0W - 1L)
8 - Manito (C) / Cabaluna (PF) / Donahue (SF) / Hermosisima (SG) / Luy (PG) (0W - 1L)

NU actually started the season with the line-up I'm most fond of, but they quickly went away from it after just a solitary loss. For the Bulldogs, it's a matter of finding a player they can bring off the bench without hamstringing the starting unit offensively and so far, it's clear they haven't found one that works.

This is a very intriguing team though. If the bench, which has shown a lot of promise at various moments, can all grow next season, this will be a very deadly team.

DLSU Green Archers

1 - Andrada (C) / Villanueva (PF) / Mangahas (SF) / Malabes (SG) / Tolentino (PG) (0W - 1L)
2 - Bringas (C) / Villanueva (PF) / Mangahas (SF) / Malabes (SG) / Tolentino (PG) (0W - 1L)
3 - Ferdinand (C) / Bringas (PF) / Webb (SF) / Marata (SG) / Atkins (PG) (4W - 2L)
4 - Ferdinand (C) / Bringas (PF) / Webb (SF) / Bagatsing (SG) / Atkins (PG) (0W - 1L)

For all my hatred towards Pumaren's 9-minute stretch uses of Ferdinand and Marata, it definitely has been their most potent line-up.

I still believe that Marata can be a huge threat if given the minutes, though Ferdinand is definitely a player who ought never to get another minute of playing time.

UST Growling Tigers

1 - Afuang (C) / Ababou (PF) / Mirza (SF) / Teng (SG) / Aytona (PG) (1W - 0L)
2 - Afuang (C) / Ababou (PF) / Mirza (SF) / Teng (SG) / Fortuna (PG) (1W - 1L)
3 - Afuang (C) / Ababou (PF) / Mirza (SF) / Bautista (SG) / Fortuna (PG) (1W - 1L)
4 - Green (C) / Ababou (PF) / Mirza (SF) / Bautista (SG) / Fortuna (PG) (1W - 1L)
5 - Camus (C) / Ababou (PF) / Mirza (SF) / Bautista (SG) / Fortuna (PG) (1W - 1L)

The 1-1 tallies of four of the UST line-ups makes me think their coach, Pido Jaurencio doesn't have a lot of patience. I think definitely Ababou, Mirza and Fortuna need to be the constants, but Camus in the starting line-up is a foul magnet and they need his post defense. I think they'll have to start Afuang and Bautista, but they should look into Maliksi at shooting guard.

UE Red Warriors

1 - Llagas (C) / Acuna (PF) / Alabanza (SF) / Tagarda (SG) / Lingganay (PG) (0W - 1L)
2 - Llagas (C) / Espiritu (PF) / Acuna (SF) / Lee (SG) / Lingganay (PG) (1W - 1L)
3 - Llagas (C) / Espiritu (PF) / Acibar (SF) / Lee (SG) / Reyes (PG) (1W - 0L)
4 - Llagas (C) / Duran (PF) / Lee (SF) / Zamar (SG) / Reyes (PG) (1W - 0L)
5 - Duran (C) / Acuna (PF) / Alabanza (SF) / Zamar (SG) / Lingganay (PG) (1W - 0L)
6 - Llagas (C) / Espiritu (PF) / Flores (SF) / Lee (SG) / Lingganay (PG) (0W - 1L)
7 - Espiritu (C) / Acuna (PF) / Alabanza (SF) / Tagarda (SG) / Lee (PG) (0W - 1L)
8 - Llagas (C) / Espiritu (PF) / Alabanza (SF) / Lee (SG) / Sumido (PG) (1W - 1L)

Like NU, UE walks the line between enough firepower to start the game and enough coming off the bench. Unlike NU though, UE's bench players haven't produced at all, with the exception of Val Acuna, whose shooting percentage is horrible to say the least.

Unlike other teams, Coach Lawrence Tiongson is more than willing to bench all his best players for no real reason at all (see line-ups #1 and #5).

FEU Tamaraws

1 - Ramos (C) / Cervantes (PF) / Cawaling (SF) / Barroca (SG) / Garcia (PG) (0W - 1L)
2 - Ramos (C) / Noundou (PF) / Cawaling (SF) / Caluag (SG) / Barroca (PG)  (2W - 0L)
3 - Cervantes (C) / Noundou (PF) / Exciminiano (SF) / Barroca (SG) / Garcia (PG) (1W - 0L)
4 - Ramos (C) / Noundou (PF) / Sanga (SF) / Barroca (SG) / Knuttel (PG) (1W - 0L)
5 - Ramos (C) / Noundou (PF) / Sanga (SF) / Cawaling (SG) / Barroca (PG) (1W - 0L)
6 - Ramos (C) / Noundou (PF) / Sanga (SF) / Barroca (SG) / Garcia (PG) (1W - 0L)
7 - Ramos (C) / Noundou (PF) / Cawaling (SF) / Exciminiano (SG) / Barroca (PG) (1W - 0L)
8 - Ramos (C) / Cervantes (PF) / Cawaling (SF) / Manalo (SG) / Barroca (PG) (1W - 0L)

As mentioned on our podcast, Glen Capacio is either bored, or trying to find playing time for his bench players. The problem is though, players like Caluag, Excimniano and Manalo have all been mediocre at best, and the inconsistent minutes and the lack of continuity in the starting line-ups might mess this team up down the stretch.

And for all the line-up rejiggering, this team needs 30+ minutes from Ramos and Barroca to win, and that's going to wear them down, I believe, if they get to the Finals.

ADMU Blue Eagles

1 - Al-Hussaini (C) / Baclao (PF) / Long (SF) / Salamat (SG) / Reyes (PG) (6W - 1L)
2 - Al-Hussaini (C) / Salva (PF) / Salamat (SF) / Austria (SG) / Reyes (PG) (1W - 0L)
3 - Al-Hussaini (C) / Baclao (PF) / Buenafe (SF) / Salamat (SG) / Reyes (PG) (1W - 0L)

Consistency, consistency, consistency for the Blue Eagles. It was hilarious to see line-up #2, where Coach Black expected a whacky UE line-up to start and instead got all of UE's best players. Coach Black also gambled with line-up #3 against La Salle, but it apparently just messed up his bench quintet's chemistry, proving that if it ain't broke, don't fix it!

Comments:

Monday, August 17th, 2009

Subject:UAAP Recap: August 17
Time:6:46 am.
Here is your daily dose of UAAP links from around the internetz:


ADMU 81 - DLSU 65 (PBFantasy.com Box Score)

ABS-CBN News - "Eagles slaughter Archers, grab solo lead"

GMA News - "Blue over green again: Ateneo reasserts mastery over La Salle"

Business Mirror - "Blue Eagles beat Archers by a mile this time around"


UE 60 - AdU 56 (PBFantasy.com Box Score)

ABS-CBN News - "Warriors turn back Falcons on Llagas' return"

GMA News - "Warriors outsteady Falcons for solo 3rd"

Business Mirror - "Llagas helps Warriors recover"


Both games

Philippine Daily Inquirer - "Fierce Eagles crush Archers"

Philippine Star - "Eagles give Archers sound beating"

Manila Bulletin - "Eagles toy with Archers, 81-65"

Inboundpass.com - "UE ends 2-game setback; Ateneo in solo lead at the expense of archrival De La Salle"


Thoughts on the DLSU loss:

Philippine Star - "Pumaren not giving up on beleaguered team"

The Green Mind - "Ateneo Demolishes La Salle"

GreenArchers.ph - "Postgame Bullets: DLSU 65 ADMU 81"

GreenArchers.ph - "Archers reach new low, fall below .500 again"

Comments:

Sunday, August 16th, 2009

Subject:Pregame Bullets: Ateneo versus La Salle, Round 2, Season 72
Time:8:35 am.
Ateneo's record versus La Salle stretching back to last season: 5-0

Ateneo's record versus La Salle stretching back to two seasons ago: 8-2

Projected Starting Line-Up for Ateneo:
C - Rabeh Al-Hussani
PF - Nonoy Baclao
SF - Kirk Long
SG - Eric Salamat
PG - Jai Reyes

- The reinsertion of Kirk Long into the starting line-up serves two purposes. One, it helps rebalance the bench, which lacked punch against La Salle in the first game; Ateneo was able to maintain the score, but was unable to take the lead. Second, defense has to be the key to this game, and so you need one "stopper" out there to rebound and hustle.
- Alternately, I could see them start Bacon Austria if they feel he was better against Webb in the last game.

Projected Starting Line-Up for La Salle:
C - Yutien Andrada
PF - Arvie Bringas
SF - Joshua Webb
SG - Sam Marata
PG - Simon Atkins

- I have La Salle starting Andrada because he was very effective versus Al-Hussaini in round one. Can Andrada actually stop the reigning MVP? Maybe not, but Andrada's actually trying, because Ferdinand's about as useful as sticking a chair out there. If anything, it might cause Al-Hussaini to try to take it to the rookie early, resulting in a few offensive fouls on the Ateneo hothead.
- I'm one of those who think that Joshua Webb's performance was a gigantic fluke, but La Salle has to at least roll the dice and see if he can duplicate the performance. Here's the thing: the best defender versus Webb was Nonoy Baclao, and with this starting five, switching Baclao over to Webb means putting Kirk Long or Eric Salamat on Arvie Bringas, not a very appetizing choice for Ateneo. Alternately, they could go with James Mangahas here, though I think the Gang Green would riot.
- I'm keeping Sam Marata here despite the fact that Franz Pumaren seems to like playing him only for the first quarter and then yanking him. That's a mistake if you ask me, because Marata is great at spreading the floor, keeping the Ateneo defense honest. Alternately, they could go with Bader Malabes, which would result in the La Salle patrons calling for Dindo Pumaren to take over, or Hyram Bagatsing. Using Bagatsing though means pairing Malabes with rookie Joel Tolentino, and that's a combo that's guaranteed to chuck up a lot of airballs.

Ateneo Keys to Victory

- Size does matter
Ateneo's victory will come on the back of Rabeh Al-Hussaini. In the first game, he got off to a hot start as he schooled Ferdinand. An extended stretch on the bench cooled him down considerably though, and then when he returned, he promptly sprained his ankle.

Rabeh's game 1 stats: 13 points on 5/9 shooting, 3/4 free throw shooting, 1 paltry rebound, 2 assists, 5 turnovers.

1 rebound is not going to get you anywhere good sir. The 5 turnovers will not help either. Al-Hussaini has got to be aggressive on the glass, as he was in their game last Thursday against UE where he pulled down boards with authority. On the other hand though, he's got to play composed because La Salle WILL send double and triple teams, which is something UE staunchly refused to do.

The latter is something the guards should help out with. Ateneo will not get away with tossing the ball into the post and hoping Rabeh makes those hook shots. Players like Jai Reyes, Eric Salamat and Kirk Long need to drive into the lane and set up the drop pass. Here's my rule of thumb: if the ball is with Rabeh for more than 3 seconds, that's a bad thing. Ideally, you want Rabeh to maybe take one dribble, preferably none, and then hoist up a shot. This speed prevents La Salle from double-teaming effectively, and at least will help Rabeh draw more fouls.

- Bench does matter
Specifically, Ryan Buenafe does matter. In his last four games, the reigning rookie of the year has suffered from the sophomore jinx. His averages: 5 points, 35% shooting, no triples, 3 boards, nearly 3 assists, 2.5 turnovers.

Yes Buenafe's been doing all the other things: blocking out, setting teammates up (notably his HS teammate Nico Salva, who runs a mean pick and roll with him), and diving for the loose balls, but Ateneo needs Buenafe to score, so that the floor opens up for Salva and Emman Monfort (who's been in a slump as well).

The problem seems to be that Ateneo is content with running isolation plays for him, which the entire league has scouted to death. If they can maybe get Buenafe off staggered screens early on, then that might get his offense and his confidence going.

- Shotblocking does matter
Ateneo averages about 4.38 shot blocks per game, most of which come from Nonoy Baclao. Most of these come from the fourth quarter, when traditionally, Ateneo really begins to clamp down (I say traditionally, because of recent games). I think the problem though is from quarters one to three, a lot of players see wide open lanes to the hoop. Cue Joshua Webb.

Whether Ateneo's lapses in that round one game were temporary or not, the fact remains that we have got to protect the lane more. Baclao's great, but he can't do everything on his own, especially if his nonshooting hand is still not 100%, the dude needs to be able to block with both hands.

That means the other big men, Al-Hussaini, Justin Chua, and Nico Salva, have to step up. Salva's been on the end of some ugly and-one's recently, but early on, he had some success swatting shots. That has got to come back in this game.

Let's put it this way: an early block sets the tone, and in a game where posturing and outward appearances are a huge factor, a big resounding smack and a ball back into the face of a La Salle player would be HUGE.

La Salle Keys to Victory

- Play the right players.

Coach Franz Pumaren has a love affair with James Mangahas and Bader Malabes, playing them major minutes despite obvious ineptitude, when others like Sam Marata rot on the bench. Take a page from UP Coach Aboy Castro's playbook: you miss four shots, you hit the bench.

- Play zone

Ateneo seems to struggle against zone defenses due to a lack of uber-consistent outside threats. If Emman Monfort isn't on the floor, then zone away to your heart's content. The mass of hands playing into the passing lane ought to yield a few steals which the Greenies could convert into turnover points.

- Play desperate

Is it just me or does "The Bigote" not seem to care about this season? Is his eye already on the door? Everyone makes a big deal about this guy's supposedly awesome coaching skills, but take a look at the records I posted at the start of this post. Ateneo's offense has been pretty much the same for the past couple of years: a talented big man, and a mix of slashers and shooters who play better in the half court. If Franz loses this one, it'll be the first time he'll lose three straight in his UAAP career, and it will effectively knock La Salle out of Final Four contention (you expect me to believe that they'll beat FEU and UE?).

Final Predictions

- Ateneo by 7-10

- Rabeh with 20+ points
- Salamat with 10-12 points
- Salva with 10-12 points
- Buenafe with 8-10 points

- Webb with less than 8 points
- Mangahas with 10 points, only Archer in double digits
- 2 triples from Marata
- Atkins fouls out

Comments:

Subject:UAAP Recap: August 16
Time:6:49 am.
Here is your daily dose of UAAP links from around the internetz:


FEU 75 - UST 67 (PBFantasy.com Box Score)

ABS-CBN News - "Tamaraws beat Tigers anew, tie Eagles"

GMA News - "FEU trounces UST, continues to shadow Ateneo on top"


UP 78 - NU 76 (PBFantasy.com Box Score)

ABS-CBN News - "Maroons rip Bulldogs"

GMA News - "UP zaps fight out of Ponferrada-less NU 5"


Recaps of both games:

Philippine Daily Inquirer - "Tams keep streak alive"


Philippine Star - "Tams silence Tigers, join Eagles at helm"

Manila Bulletin - "Tams tame Tigers"


Previews of today's games:

Philippine Daily Inquirer - "High-flying Eagles, skidding Archers tangle again"

Philippine Star - "Ateneo not taking La Salle lightly - Black"


Manila Bulletin - "Ateneo seeks repeat over La Salle"

ABS-CBN News - "Ateneo, La Salle collide in UAAP rematch"


GMA News - "Ateneo hopes to keep La Salle blue in UAAP 2nd round"

GreenArchers.ph - "Pregame Bullets: DLSU vs ADMU 8/16"

Comments:

Saturday, August 15th, 2009

Subject:UAAP Highlights: Aug 15
Time:8:24 am.
Here is your daily dose of UAAP links from around the internetz:

Game Previews:
Philippine Daily Inquirer - "Hot Tamaraws out to extend streak"

Philippine Star - "Tamaraws seek share of lead, battle Tigers"

Manila Bulletin - FEU goes for a share of top spot"

GMA News - "UST hopes to stop FEU's goal of joining Ateneo on top"


Fallout from the DLSU-AdU game:
GreenArchers.ph - "The View from the Armchair: Game 8 vs AdU"

GreenArchers.ph - "De La Salle suffers second two-game skid"

GreenArchers.ph - "Postscript to the AdU Pre-game Predictions"


The Green Mind - "Adamson Deserves the Win"


Fallout from the ADMU-UE game:
Ateneo.edu - "Ateneo cruises past UE, 80-75"

Ateneo.edu - "Waiting to exhale"

GoAteneo.com - "Blue Eagles Escape Warriors"

Bleachers' Brew - "Ateneo Blue Eagles Game 8 Brainfreeze"


Comments:

Friday, August 14th, 2009

Subject:UAAP Recap: August 14
Time:6:21 am.
Here is your daily dose of UAAP links from around the internetz:
 

Both games

Philippine Daily Inquirer - "Eagles, Falcons down rivals"

Philippine Star - "Rabeh propels Eagles; Falcons topple Archers"


Manila Bulletin - "Adamson soars past La Salle"


Business Mirror - "Falcons end skid via upset of Archers"

Manila Times - "Ateneo squirms past UE, Adamson shocks La Salle"


ADMU 80 - UE 75 (PBFantasy.com Box Score)
Inboundpass.com - "Rabeh, Blue Eagles roll past UE"

ABS-CBN News - "Eagles survive Warriors rally, seize UAAP lead"

GMA News - "Ateneo beats UE, warms up for Round 2 meeting with La Salle"


AdU 61 - DLSU 55 (PBFantasy.com Box Score)
Inboundpass.com - "Falcons shred DLSU in shocker"

ABS-CBN News - "Falcons outgun lethargic Archers"

GMA News - "Adamson opens 2nd round with surprising win over La Salle"


From GreenArchers.com

Postscript to the AdU Pre-game Predictions

Post Game Bullets: DLSU 55 - AdU 61


Comments:

Thursday, August 13th, 2009

Subject:UAAP Highlights: Aug 13
Time:8:46 am.
Here is your daily dose of UAAP links from around the internetz:

Game Previews:

Philippine Daily Inquirer - "Eagles seek solo lead vs Warriors"


Philippine Star - "UAAP sacks UE's Llagas, FEU's Cervantes"


Manila Bulletin - "Eagles eye repeat vs Warriors"


GreenArchers.ph Previews of Today's Game versus Adamson

GreenArchers.ph - "Pre-game Predictions: La Salle vs Adamson Round 2"

GreenArchers.ph - "Pregame Bullets: DLSU vs AdU 8/13"


Ubelt.com - UAAP Power Rankings (Week 5)

Comments:

Wednesday, August 12th, 2009

Subject:Season 72 - MVP Race (Post- Round 1)
Time:6:14 am.
The big news of the day is that UST's Dylan Ababou is currently leading the MVP race. Given how this is only the end of the first round, the only factor leading to these rankings are player statistical points. Ubelt.com was kind enough to provide a breakdown of said points here which I've replicated below.

The obvious question - field goal percentage and turnovers aren't included in the formula? Really? Whose bright idea was that?



Rank PLAYERNAME TEAMNAME GP Pts Rebs Asts Stls Blks SPs Bonus -Ps TOTSPs
1 Ababou, Dylan UST 7 137 50 17 6 1 408 60 - 66.8571
2 Ramos, Aldrech FEU 7 80 76 10 7 13 361 90 - 64.4286
3 Mirza, Khasim UST 7 119 58 16 2 7 389 60 - 64.1429
4 Llagas, Narciso UE 7 104 63 9 3 6 344 60 15 56.2857
5 Barroca, Andy FEU 7 90 34 21 14 0 303 90 - 56.1429
6 Lee, Paul UE 7 92 46 38 2 0 327 60 - 55.2857
7 Espiritu, Elmer UE 7 81 63 7 2 15 322 60 - 54.5714
8 Al-Hussaini, Rabeh ADMU 7 104 42 8 0 1 276 90 10 52.2857
9 Noundou, Hippolyte FEU 7 74 54 9 4 1 270 90 - 51.4286
10 Garcia, Ryan FEU 7 80 23 20 5 2 245 90 - 47.8571
11 Baloran, Melvin NU 7 94 52 8 10 1 301 30 - 47.2857
12 Salamat, Erik ADMU 7 82 14 21 12 0 235 90 10 46.4286
13 Baclao, Nonoy ADMU 7 35 60 6 4 16 232 90 - 46.0000
14 Ponferrada, Jewel NU 7 75 57 6 4 17 290 30 - 45.7143
15 Teng, Jeric UST 7 94 27 10 6 0 255 60 5 45.0000
16 Colina, Jan AdU 7 70 60 7 8 5 287 15 - 43.1429
17 Mangahas, James DLSU 7 59 43 10 9 2 236 60 - 42.2857
18 Co, Woody UP 7 93 38 8 7 3 275 15 - 41.4286
19 Lingganay, Rudy UE 7 53 38 19 6 1 228 60 - 41.1429
20 Camus, Christopher UST 7 51 44 3 13 7 217 60 10 39.5714
21 Cervantes, Reil FEU 6 40 44 5 1 4 169 75 15 39.0000
22 Cawaling , Ric FEU 7 66 16 7 2 5 177 90 - 38.1429
23 Buenafe, Ryan ADMU 7 39 31 13 8 3 176 90 - 38.0000
24 Salva, Nico ADMU 7 52 26 8 0 6 175 90 - 37.8571
25 Padilla, Alvin UP 7 68 37 21 12 1 249 15 5 37.7143
26 Acuña, Val UE 7 73 23 6 3 0 200 60 - 37.1429
27 Monfort, Emman ADMU 7 54 22 10 4 0 164 90 5 36.2857
28 Fortuna, Jeric UST 7 40 23 29 13 1 189 60 - 35.5714
29 Malabes, Bader DLSU 7 54 27 17 5 0 184 60 5 34.8571
30 Bringas, Arvie DLSU 7 50 39 2 6 2 181 60 - 34.4286
31 Webb, Joshua DLSU 7 68 21 6 3 2 180 60 5 34.2857
32 Maliksi, Allein UST 7 62 23 6 3 2 178 60 - 34.0000
33 Sison, Magi UP 7 45 53 7 2 10 219 15 - 33.4286
34 Alvarez, Lester AdU 7 79 16 19 4 0 217 15 - 33.1429
- Sanga, Paul FEU 7 40 18 10 3 0 142 90 - 33.1429
36 Reyes, Jai ADMU 7 45 14 13 0 0 135 90 - 32.1429
37 Gomez, Carlo UP 7 56 44 6 2 2 204 15 - 31.2857
38 Reyes, Martin UP 7 74 24 5 1 0 202 15 - 31.0000
39 Cañada, Jerick AdU 7 55 24 23 11 0 201 15 - 30.8571
40 Co, Kish DLSU 7 42 27 5 4 1 153 60 - 30.4286
41 Bagatsing, Hyram DLSU 7 40 21 14 5 0 151 60 - 30.1429
42 Hermosisima, Joseph NU 7 64 19 10 6 0 178 30 - 29.7143
43 Zamar, Paul UE 7 48 17 8 1 1 144 60 - 29.1429
44 Lopez, Mark UP 7 57 31 10 5 1 187 15 - 28.8571
45 Santos, Allan AdU 7 32 43 10 2 12 185 15 - 28.5714
46 Nuyles, Alexander AdU 5 37 21 5 2 2 126 15 - 28.2000
47 Long, Jeffrey ADMU 7 27 18 7 3 0 107 90 - 28.1429
48 Canduday, Leo AdU 7 56 27 12 4 0 181 15 5 28.0000
49 Reyes, Raphy UE 7 36 25 4 4 2 133 60 - 27.5714
50 Atkins, Simon DLSU 7 21 22 23 5 2 130 60 5 27.1429
51 Braganza, Arvin UP 6 19 26 21 8 0 143 15 - 26.3333
52 Singh, Ajeet NU 7 55 16 9 6 0 153 30 5 26.1429
53 Villanueva, Alvin DLSU 7 29 28 5 0 2 122 60 - 26.0000
54 Bautista, Clark UST 7 37 11 9 5 0 117 60 - 25.2857
55 Terso, Joseph NU 7 29 20 23 8 0 140 30 - 24.2857
56 Austria, Raymond ADMU 7 19 17 4 2 2 78 90 5 24.0000
57 Duran, Erwin UE 4 12 18 1 1 0 62 30 - 23.0000
- Chua, Justin ADMU 7 18 12 4 1 2 71 90 - 23.0000
59 Andrada, Yutien DLSU 5 12 15 3 4 3 69 45 - 22.8000
60 Tanuan, Edgar FEU 5 13 5 0 0 0 33 75 - 21.6000
61 Marata, Samuel DLSU 7 28 10 2 5 0 86 60 - 20.8571
62 Afuang, Carmelo UST 7 24 15 2 4 1 85 60 - 20.7143
63 Galinato, Michael AdU 7 34 28 9 0 1 126 15 - 20.1429
64 Malanday, Larry NU 7 29 23 6 2 1 110 30 - 20.0000
65 Luy, Michael NU 7 23 21 11 8 0 108 30 - 19.7143
66 Manalo, Christian FEU 3 3 1 2 1 0 14 45 - 19.6667
67 Cabrera, Roider AdU 7 36 21 1 1 3 116 15 - 18.7143
- Knuttel, Jens FEU 7 9 2 5 6 0 41 90 - 18.7143
69 Barua, Peejay DLSU 6 27 9 0 0 0 67 45 - 18.6667
70 Caluag, Casey FEU 7 3 11 8 3 0 40 90 - 18.5714
- Ferdinand DLSU 7 15 22 0 4 1 70 60 - 18.5714
72 Mendoza, Mark DLSU 6 11 10 2 6 0 50 60 5 18.3333
73 Camson, Eric AdU 7 31 25 0 4 3 113 15 5 18.2857
74 Green, Darell UST 7 18 17 1 2 0 65 60 5 17.8571
75 Vinluan, MC FEU 5 3 6 1 1 0 14 75 5 17.8000
76 Tolentino, Joseph DLSU 7 14 8 8 4 1 63 60 - 17.5714
77 Eguilos, Jaymo FEU 6 7 8 1 0 0 30 75 - 17.5000
78 Tiongson, Juami ADMU 4 7 7 0 0 0 24 45 - 17.2500
79 Margallo, Aldrin AdU 6 29 8 4 2 2 86 15 - 16.8333
80 Sumalinog, Christopher ADMU 4 5 1 4 0 1 22 45 - 16.7500
81 Cabaluna, Denmark NU 7 24 17 4 2 1 86 30 - 16.5714
82 Tagarda, Lucas UE 5 2 4 5 2 0 22 60 - 16.4000
83 Reyes, Miguel UP 7 34 12 12 1 0 97 15 - 16.0000
- Gonzaga, Luis ADMU 4 5 4 1 0 0 19 45 - 16.0000
85 Banal, Gabriel DLSU 3 5 3 3 0 0 17 30 - 15.6667
86 Manito, Mark NU 7 18 19 0 2 7 78 30 5 15.4286
- Lozada, Janus AdU 7 19 22 6 6 2 93 15 5 15.4286
88 Roy, Ronald NU 5 15 4 2 4 0 46 30 - 15.2000
89 Bandaying, Fhadzmir UE 3 11 3 0 1 0 30 15 - 15.0000
90 Exciminiano, Chris FEU 6 2 3 0 0 0 9 75 - 14.0000
91 Ayala, Garrick UE 6 9 8 1 0 1 37 45 - 13.6667
92 Alabanza, John UE 5 4 9 1 0 0 22 45 - 13.4000
93 Golla, Frank ADMU 4 2 2 0 0 0 8 45 - 13.2500
94 De Chavez, Christian ADMU 3 2 2 1 0 0 9 30 - 13.0000
- Fabula, Elmer NU 4 7 5 0 0 0 22 30 - 13.0000
96 Aytona, Eduardo UST 6 3 2 5 0 0 16 60 - 12.6667
97 Mariano, Aljon UST 6 10 4 1 0 1 28 45 - 12.1667
98 Batac, Kevin NU 7 17 3 7 2 0 53 30 - 11.8571
99 Ungria, Aljohn UST 3 0 2 0 0 0 3 30 - 11.0000
100 Juruena, Mark UP 7 8 18 5 1 3 59 15 - 10.5714
101 Cam, Marco UST 3 2 4 0 1 0 14 15 - 9.6667
102 Basillio, Arnold AdU 3 3 4 0 0 0 12 15 - 9.0000
103 Maniego, Francis UP 7 10 5 1 5 0 40 15 - 7.8571
104 Felix, Andrew UST 3 2 2 0 0 0 6 15 - 7.0000
105 Gamboa, Michael UP 4 2 4 2 0 0 11 15 - 6.5000
106 Magat, Marion NU 6 0 4 1 0 2 8 30 - 6.3333
107 Astorga, Kevin UP 3 4 5 1 1 0 18 0 - 6.0000
108 De Asis, Migs UP 6 9 1 0 0 0 19 15 - 5.6667
109 Hipolito, Dionisio UP 3 3 3 1 0 0 13 0 - 4.3333
110 Tungcul, Jerome NU 4 0 1 2 0 0 2 15 - 4.2500
Comments:

Tuesday, August 11th, 2009

Subject:UAAP Highlights: August 11
Time:6:36 am.
Here is your daily dose of UAAP links from around the internetz:

Philippine Daily Inquirer - "No serious harm for Ateneo's Al-Hussaini"

Philippine Star - "Rabeh on the mend, plays vs Warriors"

GMA News - "Early loss to UP toughened Ateneo for La Salle game"


ABS-CBN News - "2nd Eagles-Archers game on Sunday"


GreenArchers.ph - "The View From the Armchair: Game 7 vs Ateneo"

Ateneo.edu - "FIrst Round Finishing Kick: Week 5 of UAAP Season 72"


Ateneo.edu - "Ateneo Edges De La Salle in OT 76-72

Ateneo.edu - "Wearing Yellow and Feeling Blue"

Bleachers' Brew - "Ateneo Blue Eagles Game 7 - Tides"

Bleachers' Brew - "My thoughts on the Ateneo - La Salle first round game"

Comments:

Subject:2nd Round Schedule - Season 72
Time:6:21 am.
c/o Jancarlo from Gameface.ph

SECOND ROUND SCHEDULE, MEN'S BASKETBALL


August 13 - Araneta Coliseum
2 PM - Adamson vs La Salle
4 PM - Ateneo vs UE

August 15 - Araneta Coliseum
2 PM - UP vs NU
4 PM - FEU vs UST

August 16 - Araneta Coliseum
2 PM - UE vs Adamson
4 PM - La Salle vs Ateneo

August 20 - Filoil Flying V Arena
2 PM - NU vs FEU
4 PM - UST vs UP

August 22 - Araneta Coliseum
2 PM - Adamson vs NU
4 PM - FEU vs UE

August 23 - Araneta Coliseum
2 PM - UP vs La Salle
4 PM - Ateneo vs UST

August 27 - Filoil Flying V Arena
2 PM - UE vs UP
4 PM - Adamson vs FEU

August 29 - Filoil Flying V Arena
2 PM - UST vs NU
4 PM - La Salle vs UE

August 30 - Filoil Flying V Arena
2 PM - UP vs FEU
4 PM - Ateneo vs Adamson

September 3 - Araneta Coliseum
2 PM - NU vs Ateneo
4 PM - La Salle vs UST

September 5 - Araneta Coliseum
2 PM - UE vs NU
4 PM - FEU vs La Salle

September 6 - Filoil Flying V Arena
2 PM - Ateneo vs UP
4 PM - UST vs Adamson

September 10 - Filoil Flying V Arena
2 PM - La Salle vs NU
4 PM - UE vs UST

September 12 - Araneta Coliseum
2 PM - Adamson vs UP
4 PM - Ateneo vs FEU

September 13 - Araneta Coliseum
2 PM - Cheerdance Competition
Comments:

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